Thursday, October 13, 2011

Week 6 NFL Predictions

Hello fans of football, I come to you today with some very disconcerning and troublesome news. It seems that the near constant rumbling from sports fans everywhere about Tim Tebow has been steadily accumulating and has now formed a potentially dangerous cloud of smog. If I were you, I would board up the house to protect my family, bring the dog in from outside, and whatever you do, DON'T turn on the NFL League Pass. Having the game on will just add to the dangerous smog cloud. Instead, tune to the weather channel and watch for any sign of a reprieve.

                                               Cloudy with a 48.9% chance of a completion.


I'd love to spend the rest of this post ranting about how I don't think Tebow is the best choice but I'd be wasting my time. I have more important things to do, such as catch up on Gossip Girl. And I guess maybe I'll make predictions for week 6 in there somewhere as well. I just REALLY want Nate and Blair to get back together! Ahh...focus. Right, well it was a rough week for prediction last week, as I finished up at a measly 7-6 mark. ESPN edged me ever so slightly with 8-5, putting them ahead in the overall standings, 49-28 to my 47-30.  Without further ado and while GG is on commercial break, lets hit week 6.


Carolina vs. Atlanta
ESPN Pick: Atlanta 27 Carolina 21
Committed Fan Pick: Carolina 28 Atlanta 22

I hate to use the upset pick of the week so soon, but there it is. I'm a believer in Cam Newton, and he has torched every defense p to this point, so why not Atlanta's? Newton has a completion percentage 6% higher away from home, as well as a QB Rating that is 20 points higher on the road. Atlanta has underperformed all season and could easily lose to Carolina this week.

Cincinnati vs. Indianapolis
ESPN Pick: Cincinnati 24 Indianapolis 10
Committed Fan Pick: Cincinnati 24 Indianapolis 14

This game is a great chance for Andy Dalton to test out the offense against a rather unthreatening defense and more than likely get the better of them. The Bengals have the ability to crush the Colts with the run or burn them with explosive WR A.J Green. Look for them to do both.

San Francisco vs. Detroit
ESPN Pick: Detroit 21 San Francisco 17
Committed Fan Pick: Detroit 27 San Francisco 21

The 49er's have excelled this season due to a tough running game, but have complimented it very nice with the passing game. Chances are that they'll need to throw it against the Lions, who have been one of the league's stingier run defenses. The 49er's have a good (not great) secondary that will be challenged by Calvin Johnson all day long.

Green Bay vs. St. Louis
ESPN Pick: Green Bay 34 St. Louis 17
Committed Fan Pick: Green Bay 38 St. Louis 14

Green Bay has been nothing short of dominant this year offensively. Aaron Rodgers can pick apart a defense as well as anyone, and he is on a hot streak right now. Conversely, the Rams have suffered due to inept play from their QB Sam Bradford and are looking to stop a 4 game slide coming off a bye week.


Buffalo vs.  New York Giants
ESPN Pick: New York 24 Buffalo 23
Committed Fan Pick: Buffalo 28 New York 21

 Buffalo has shown all season that their are for real and the team to beat in the AFC. New York has remained largely invisible this season, despite a good season so far from Eli Manning. Buffalo will run against this defense, and they will be successful.


Pittsburgh vs. Jacksonville
ESPN Pick: Pittsburgh 27 Jacksonville 17
Committed Fan Pick: Pittsburgh 27 Jacksonville 14

Pittsburgh has struggled at times this season, losing some pivotal games and allowing teams to score on their defense quite easily. But I think the Steeler find their old form against Jacksonville and its rookie QB Blaine Gabbert. Just a hunch.


Philadelphia vs. Washington
ESPN Pick: Philadelphia 23 Washington 21
Committed Fan Pick: Philadelphia 21 Washington 24

A tough one for the Dream Team, as Washington has a stingy defense and an improved offense with second wind starter Rex Grossman at the helm. Sexy Rexy has got the 'Skins feeling fine.


Oakland vs. Cleveland
ESPN Pick: Oakland 21 Cleveland 17
Committed Fan Pick: Oakland 24 Cleveland 17

After their inspiring win last week in which in they won without their running game, look for the Raider's to try and get back to their bread and butter against Cleveland and their 25th ranked run defense.  On the other end, young gun Colt McCoy has led this Browns lead very well this season and looks to challenge a secondary which has been lackluster since losing CB Nnamdi Asomugha.


Houston vs. Baltimore
ESPN Pick: Baltimore 23 Houston 14
Committed Fan Pick: Houston 25 Baltimore 24

I'm looking forward to this matchup, because the Houston Texans greatly need this win to secure some respect in the NFL. The Ravens are always a tough matchup, with an aging but still effective defense and a capable offense led by Ray Rice and Joe Flacco.


Dallas vs. New England
ESPN Pick: New England 24 Dallas 23
Committed Fan Pick: New England 31 Dallas 17

I don't expect alot of defense out of this game, as I think both teams will try to throw early and often to try and outpace their opponent. If that ends up being the case, I see Tom Brady having a field day against this Dallas D.


New York Jets vs. Miami
ESPN Pick: New York 27 Miami 17
Committed Fan Pick: New York 24 Miami 10

Miami looks inept this season and by all means, just plain out lost this season. Losing QB Chad Henne isn't going to help, as coach Tony Sparano has to win games fast to keep his job. The Jets could be a likely candidate, as they have struggled to find a team identity all season and have not been dominant in any way.


New Orleans vs. Tampa Bay
ESPN Pick: New Orleans 24 Tampa Bay 17
Committed Fan Pick: New Orleans 28 Tampa Bay 17

Coming off their worst loss in franchise history, this Bucs team has to be feeling pretty awful about last game. Things don't look much better against the Saints, who teams just can't seem to put away late in games. Maybe Drew Brees has something to do with that, I don't know.


Chicago vs. Minnesota
ESPN Pick: Chicago 21 Minnesota 20
Committed Fan Pick: Chicago 23 Minnesota 17

Chicago has been less than spectacular this season, and Monday night's loss didn't help that at all. The O-Line is terrible, and its scary to think about how good this team would be if it wasn't as bad. Minnesota showed some life against the Cardinals last week, but it was against the Cardinals, so don't get too excited.



Fantasy Picks for week 6 


A.J Green WR Bengals: If he is available (which he shouldn't be) pick him  up. If you can get him for a low enough price, do it. He is "the guy" in Cincinnati and he seems to have a strong rapport built up with QB Andy Dalton. He's a great deep threat and hauls in a long bomb or two every game.

Daniel Thomas RB Dolphins:Thomas has been on of the few bright spots on the year for the Dolphins. He has a good matchup here, as the Jets got pounded by another big back last week, Benjarvus Green-Ellis, who doesn't have much more speed or shiftiness than Thomas. He's the feature and goal line back wrapped up in one. Start him.

Earnest Graham RB Buccaneers: Graham doesn't have a cake walk of a matchup here, as the Saints are 15th in run defence. However, Graham will be the goal line back, and he is a viable art of the receiving game as well. It appears LeGarrette Blount will miss some time with an injury so pick up Graham as a weekly plug in.

Mike Thomas WR Jaguars: Not the most well known of the available wideouts, but he has seen significant targets this season and has produced decent numbers. Not a good matchup this week but you can sit on him and use him later on down the road.

Greg Olsen TE Panthers: One of Cam Newton's favorite targets, he has had at least 3 catches and a touchdown in the past 3 games. This week, he gets the Falcons, who have allowed the 28th most passing yards in the league. Olsen should get a big piece of that pie.

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